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Modern Statistics
Modern Statistics has emerged from the probabilistic reasoning of the
nineteenth century, from the design and analysis of agricultural
experiments in the early twentieth century that gave acceptance to
this NEW field of study and from the coherent organization of surveys
to replace censuses for many governmental purposes. Now the thrust of
the discipline is toward the problems of making efficient use of very
large and very small experiments and observational studies, toward
drawing information from high-dimensional observations interrelated in
complex ways, and toward predicting events for complex systems and
quantifying the uncertainties inherent in these projections. Modern
statistical methodology, too, has emerged from its roots in calculator
computation and approximation to focus on computationally intensive
and/or high-dimensional problems in visualization, analysis, and
approximation. The statistical topics of design and analysis continue
to exist, but the problems are much harder, more likely to depend
directly on one or more substantive disciplines involved in a
research investigation and to demand greater precision in the final
objective, whether estimation or prediction.
Thus over the past half century, as with other disciplines, the
mathematics used in Statistics has become more sophisticated and more
diverse; and computing has become an essenital part in almost every
aspect of statistical theory and practice. Also, the linking of a
mathematical/statistical formulation to the substantive field is now
preeminent, for an inaccurate understanding leading to a gross
approximation in the statistical formulation is no longer good enough
to be satisfactory.
But the need for inference in the presence of uncertainty and some
understanding of the magnitude of the uncertainty in that inference
remains at the core of the discipline. As research has become more
interdisciplinary, and as technology continues to become more powerful
but also more intricate, the ONE-VARIABLE-AT-A-TIME approach used in
experimentation has become patently untenable and the BRUTE FORCE
method of trying every combination of factors is clearly infeasible.
So the need for efficient inference and for assessment of its quality
is expanding.
The Statistics programs at Case Western Reserve University reflect
these changes in the discipline with strong cores to underpin the
fundamental concepts of statistics, with courses in a variety of
methodologies, with serious connection to a substantive area for
application of statistics and practice in scientific collaboration,
and with forums for the development of articulate oral (and written)
presentation.
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